PAK IV Pharma — LESCO Bill Analysis & Solar PV Proposal

01 — Consumption Profile

Six-Month Energy Pattern

Feb–Jun 2026 from the supplied monthly extract, plus the Jul 2026 billing statement. Average draw is ~57,430 KWH per month (≈689 MWH annually).

Jul 2026 (70,829 KWH) is the highest month in the window and reflects the latest billing statement.

Month	KWH	MDI (kW)	Bill (PKR)
Feb 2026	76,000	410	3,545,381
Mar 2026	33,107	936*	3,025,040
Apr 2026	58,220	571	3,378,170
May 2026	48,602	434	2,716,183
Jun 2026	57,820	440	2,991,183
Jul 2026	70,829	—†	3,435,824
Average	57,430	—	3,182,130

* Mar 2026 shows MDI 936 kW against only 33,107 KWH — an apparent demand-penalty / short-billing anomaly, excluded from the baseline. † MDI not printed on the Jul 2026 extract supplied; latest printed value (Jun, 440 kW) is used as the baseline (see Demand section).

02 — Jul 2026 Statement

Bill Breakdown & Reconciliation

Customer 11383713 · Ref 24 11535 3449702 · Division Kot Lakhpat · Billing month July 2026.

Component	PKR
Energy Charge (COE)	1,667,295
Fixed Charge	566,250
Qatar Tariff Adj.	−140,645
FC Surcharge	228,778
Electricity Duty	15,267
GST	420,650
Income Tax	163,368
Extra Tax (E-Tax)	397,281
Further Tax (F-Tax)	93,478
FPA (total)	24,102
Total Payable	3,435,824

Energy slab check: 66,917 × 22.830 + 3,912 × 35.680 = 1,667,079 ≈ stated COE 1,667,295 (rounding). Units 70,829.

Effective Rate

48.5

PKR / unit (all-in)

Energy Rate

23.5

PKR / unit (COE only)

Variable Rate

38.2

PKR / unit (excl. fixed & income tax)

Reading: Fixed Charge is Rs. 566,250 — a large standing cost that signals a substantial sanctioned load. The all-in effective rate (~48.5 PKR/unit) is dominated by taxes and surcharges layered on the ~23.5 PKR energy component.

03 — Demand & MDI

Maximum Demand Position

Demand charges are driven by Maximum Demand Indicator (MDI). Solar that covers the daytime peak trims MDI.

Item	Value
Baseline MDI (Jun 2026)	440 kW
Sanctioned load (from FIX-CHRG)	≈ 566 kW
Post-solar MDI (applied factor)	396 kW
MDI reduction	≈ 10%

Baseline MDI uses the latest printed record (Jun 2026, 440 kW); the Jul 2026 extract did not print MDI. Sanctioned load is derived from the Rs. 566,250 fixed charge (~Rs. 1,000/kW·month).

Client-provided assumption: after solar installation, MDI reduces to 90% of the pre-solar value. This is applied as a planning factor based on experience from a comparable pharmaceutical installation. The post-solar MDI of 396 kW is therefore a planning estimate, not a measured result.

Why it matters: lower MDI reduces the fixed/demand portion of every future bill, independent of the energy saving.
To confirm: supply the printed MDI figure from the Jul 2026 statement so the baseline can be fixed exactly.

04 — Solar PV Proposal

Recommended Self-Consumption System

Sized to the annual consumption, assuming all generation is self-consumed (zero export) — the conservative, hardware-only base case.

System Size

~393 kWp

≈ 546 × Trina Vertex N 720W modules

Annual Generation

~689 MWh

at Punjab PSH 4.8, net yield

Self-Consumption

~95%

generation < consumption ⇒ minimal export

Sizing logic: Annual consumption ≈ 689,156 KWH. At Punjab Performance Ratio / peak-sun 4.8, required capacity = 689,156 ÷ (4.8 × 365) ≈ 393 kWp. Because projected generation stays at or below consumption, the zero-export base case holds: every solar unit displaces an imported unit rather than being sold back.

No solar currently installed — this is a greenfield proposal for the account.
Modules: Trina Vertex N 720W (N-type TOPCon, bifacial) — high yield per string, suitable for industrial roofs/ground-mount.
Configuration: string inverters sized to the load profile, with a zero-export controller if export is not permitted by the distributor.

05 — Financial Case

Savings & Payback (Base Case)

Base case = solar hardware only. Regulatory levers (tax waivers, tariff changes) are excluded and shown separately as conditional upside.

Metric	Value
Energy displaced / year	≈ 654,400 KWH
Saving @ energy rate (23.5)	Rs. 15.4 M / yr
Saving @ variable rate (38.2)	Rs. 25.0 M / yr
Indicative capex (@ ~Rs.130/Wp)	Rs. 51.1 M
Simple payback (low / high)	3.3 yr / 2.0 yr

Capex is an indicative all-in turnkey figure for planning; a firm quotation is required. Saving range reflects the rate basis (energy-only vs. variable).

Conditional Upside subject to approval

Sales-Tax registration → potential E-Tax + F-Tax waiver (~Rs. 0.49 M on the Jul bill alone).
MDI / Fixed-Charge revision → further reduction beyond the 90% solar effect.
DG-capacity enhancement → headroom for future load.
Fixed export tariff → only if export is permitted by the distributor.

None of the above is assumed in the base-case payback. Each is "Subject to LESCO approval / tax-advisor confirmation / interconnection review."

06 — Basis & Next Steps

Assumptions & Open Items

Working Assumptions

Consumption: 6-month actuals (Feb–Jul 2026); annualised linearly.
PV yield: Punjab peak-sun 4.8, net of system losses.
Self-consumption 95%; zero export assumed (generation ≤ consumption).
Post-solar MDI = 90% of baseline (client-provided factor).
No solar currently installed on site.

To Finalise the Proposal

Confirm the printed MDI on the Jul 2026 statement.
Confirm export policy — zero-export or net-metered.
Roof / ground area & orientation survey for layout.
Firm turnkey quotation to replace the indicative capex.

Bottom line: A ~393 kWp self-consumption system offsets nearly the entire annual energy draw, delivering an indicative Rs. 15–25 M/year saving and a ~2–3 year payback on hardware-only economics — before any conditional regulatory upside.